They’re getting what they asked for.
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Democrats and Balkanization, that is.
The new polls tell the tale… Harris leading in her home state of California, O’Rourke up by a nose in his Texas, Warren and Sanders showing Northeast strength, and Biden floating high nationwide.
It’s more than hometown heroism.
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It’s an identity politics showdown… with voters split on race, sex, and class, just as Democrats wanted it.
Only they might not be so happy with the results of their primary season.
Trump has been merciless in clobbering whichever figures on the Left poke their heads up far enough to signal a threat. And so far, he’s humiliated O’Rourke and knocked Warren down a peg… although in typical Trump style, he joked he dropped his “Pocahontas” bomb on her too early in the cycle. He’s also slapped an unflattering moniker on Biden.
If Harris or Sanders get a big enough headwind, they’ll be subject to the same kinds of attacks too. And they offer no shortage of targets.
It’s Sanders who, despite tacking right on immigration and guns, is the proud socialist… and Harris who represents… and embodies… the San Francisco cabal that has taken inequality and moralizing progressivism alike to self entitled heights.
They all have their weaknesses, because identity politics stops people from building broad coalitions. And when Dems are stuck with one of them as the fight comes to a conclusion, they’re likely to find the winner can’t win.
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Of course, they’ll try to rally around their candidate. Even though he or she will be too white, or too Californian, or too socialist for large numbers of voters to celebrate. But that effect will be even more powerful outside the party… in the undecided column, where Election 2020 will be decided.
Millions of Americans will be alienated by the Democrats’ nominee. Even the relatively less offensive or more populist ones will struggle… to prove that they relate, that they’re not limited to their niche, that they have a national reach and reflect a national identity.
Trump has his enemies… and has alienated many voters many times over… and has not been able to bring a sense of default stability to his presidency.
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But all presidents have rocky first terms. And it’s hard to throw them out nevertheless. George H. W. Bush, by contrast, had just about the best first term he could ask for. But a third party run by Ross Perot broke his coalition and crushed his campaign.
That won’t happen to Trump.
Yet the identity politics Democrats will become ever more fractured.
Out of their overloaded, underperforming field, the true winner is karma.